Lonsec Market Commentary – January 2018
Fixed income markets saw some serious action through January, with yields expanding significantly in response to the market’s reassessment of risk factors and interest rate movements. Australian bonds returned -0.27% over January, with Australian government bonds returning -0.35%, and longer-term government bonds (ten years plus) returning -1.02%.
The RBA’s February monetary policy statement was undeniably more bullish compared to its December release, but nevertheless the board opted to keep the cash rate on hold at 1.50%, with inflation still low but expected to move higher. The Bank’s central forecast for GDP growth is just above 3% over the next two years, supported by monetary policy conditions that remain expansionary, while the benefits of broad-based global growth and increased international trade are flowing through to the local economy.
The S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index fell 0.5% in January, pulled down by yield-sensitive utilities and property. The US S&P 500 Index rose 5.6% in US dollar terms, pushing to a new record high of 2690.16 points during the month, before dropping early in February as the market underwent a major correction and volatility spiked.
(Lonsec January 2018, Issue Date: 09-02-2018)