Category Archives: Market Updates

Lonsec Market Commentary – April 2017

Lonsec Market Commentary – April 2017

Full-time employment continues to grow after falling through much of 2016, increasing  by 74,500 in March, while part-time employment fell by 13,600.  The employment-to-population ratio appears to have steadied at around 61%.

The advance estimate of US Q1 GDP showed annual growth at 0.7%, down from 2.1% recorded in Q4 2016 and considerably lower than the consensus estimate of 1.2%.  Consumer spending – the main engine room of the economy – rose only 0.3% versus 3.5% in Q4, representing the worst performance since 2009.

The price of iron ore delivered to Qingdao in China tumbled 14.4% in April after falling 11.9% in March, ending the month at US $68.80/t, much reduced from its February high of $94.86.

To read more about local and international market affairs you can read the April 2017 Lonsec Market Commentary here:

Lonsec Market Commentary – April 2017

Lonsec Market Commentary – March 2017

Lonsec Market Commentary – March 2017

The Australian market powered on through March, returning 3.32% during the month, with all sectors gaining.

In the US, markets moved slightly higher, with the S&P 500 TG Index gaining 0.90% in AUD terms, while the Dow Jones Industrial Index was down 0.30%.

On 4 April, the RBA left the cash rate on hold at 1.5% where it has been since the August 2016 cut.

The unemployment figures for February showed an increase in employed persons of 5,200 in trend terms, although in seasonally adjusted terms employment fell by 6,400.  The good news was the resumption of growth in full time employment, which rose 27,100 in seasonally adjusted terms, following January’s fall of 44,800.

To read more about the current market, please click on the link below;

Lonsec Market Commentary – March 2017

Lonsec Market Commentary – December 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – December 2016

The Australian market ended on a high note, with the Santa rally in full swing.

The US market still appears unbreakable, with the S&P 500 TG Index adding 4.05% in December.  Valuations, while not at egregious highs, are making investors wary.

With a paucity of local data over the Christmas break and no RBA meeting in January, investors were allowed a short reprieve from the flow of economic releases, giving them time to get their heads around 2017.

To read more, click on the below Lonsec Market Commentary for December 2016;

Lonsec Market Commentary – December 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – October 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – October 2016

The Australian market sold off in October, with the S&P/ASX 200 following US indices down to end the month at 5,229.00 pts. All sectors suffered, with the exception of Materials, which was able to add to large gains over the past five months, returning 1.29% in October, while the Financials sector produced a small positive return of 0.76%, with modest gains from the big four.

Global shares were down in October, with a gradual sell-off in the US and renewed pressure on the UK market. Europe’s largest shares managed to bounce back from recent falls, allowing the European index to finish in positive territory. Global shares, measured by the MSCI World TR Index, returned -1.36% in AUD terms, while the S&P 500 TG Index returned -1.27%, with some pre-election nerves making themselves felt throughout the month

Read more in the link below

lonsec-market-commentary-october-2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – August 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – August 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – August 2016

After the RBA cut interest rates to an historic low of 1.50% Australian markets dipped over the month, finishing down at the end of August.

The largest gains over the month were in the technology, energy and consumer staples sectors.

International markets remained quiet with most global equity indices relatively flat over the month.

For the full summary, you can read the August Lonsec Market Commentary here:

Lonsec Market Commentary – August 2016

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Lonsec Market Commentary – July 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – July 2016

All sectors of the Australian market were up across August, with the largest gains seen in Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples and Materials.

Global markets were calmer over July, especially compared with the anxiety caused in June from Brexit.

The RBA dropped the cash rate to 1.5% in early August, meaning the cash rate has now been kept below 3.00% for 38 consecutive months. This has been largely due toWith continuing weak inflation figures and emerging downside risks in the global economy.

For the full summary, you can read the July Lonsec Market Commentary here:

Lonsec Market Commentary – July 2016

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Lonsec Market Commentary – June 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – June 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – June 2016

Australian shares fell over June, largely due to the impending Brexit. The largest falls were in the Information Technology, Financial and Consumer Staples sectors.

We not only felt the impact of Brexit but also political uncertainty as the federal election campaign continued. Despite this, inflation remained low and the RBA left the cash rate on hold again. Employment also rose, as did retail sales.

Concerns over Brexit affected global markets significantly as the effects on markets in the short and medium term are difficult to gauge.

The Australian Dollar rose again the US Dollar, Euro and Pound over the month.

For a full summary and more information about Brexit, you can read the June Lonsec Market Commentary here:

Lonsec Market Commentary – June 2016

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Lonsec Market Commentary – May 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – May 2016

The S&P/ASX 200 Index was up over May, finishing at 5,378.56, the highest level since August 2015. Health Care, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors lead the rise, while Materials and Energy fell.

Even though the RBA remains concerned about low inflation, GDP is running at an above-trend 3.1% year-on-year.

The Australian Dollar fell against the US Dollar over May, down from $0.7603 to $0.7234.

For the full summary, you can read the May Lonsec Market Commentary here:

Lonsec Market Commentary – May 2016

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Lonsec Market Commentary – April 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – April 2016

The ASX continued it’s recovery from its February lows this month, with April returns (as measured by the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index) at 3.37%. Gains were driven by the Materials, Energy and Financials sectors.

Globally, the S&P 500 Index fell 1.42%, the DAX finished up at 0.74% and the FTSE 100 ended April up 1.09%. The Nikkei 225 Index and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index were down, while the Hang Seng finished up.

The RBA dropped interest rates in April to a new historic low of 1.75%, advised as a preemptive move to avoid deflation.

In Australia we also saw unemployment fall again in March, retail turnover rise 0.4% and the trade deficit narrow.

For the full summary, you can read the April Lonsec Market Commentary here:

Lonsec Market Commentary – April 2016

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Lonsec Market Commentary – March 2016

Lonsec Market Commentary – March 2016

The S&P/ASX 200 regained some of the ground lost in February but is still down 15% from it’s April high from last year. Equities were up by 4.78% for the month of March but were down 9.27% over the year to March. All sectors were positive over the month.

Markets across Asia, Europe and the USA all recovered over March.

Unemployment in Australia fell back to 5.8% after the January increase, with Queensland, Victoria and New South Wales taking the lead. Unemployment in Europe fell slightly as well, down to 10.30%, which is the lowest rate since August 2011.

For a summary of how markets performed in March, you can read the Lonsec Market Commentary here:

Lonsec Market Commentary – March 2016

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